Saginaw County vs. Michigan
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Average Earnings Per Job Growth and Change, 1969-2022
Introduction
Saginaw County vs. Michigan
Saginaw County:
2022 Avg. Earnings = $61,136
2022 Percent of State = 92.64%
Michigan:
2022 Avg. Earnings = $65,990
The United States economy has generated an impressive number of jobs since the 1970s. The contrast between the nation's vigorous employment growth and the modest performance of other major industrial countries is striking. Despite this rosy track record, the real (inflation adjusted) wages and salaries of many workers have stagnated or slipped in recent years. This development has provoked concerns about the quality of new jobs. Structural shifts in the composition of employment--from high-wage goods-producing to low-wage services-related sectors--is the culprit most often cited for the deteriorating quality of jobs.
Regions vary greatly in the make-up of their labor force, in their industry composition of employment, and their economic experience. Reviewing and examining recent developments in average earnings per job in Saginaw County with comparisons to Michigan and the nation is an important first step in understanding the economic forces at play in Saginaw County.
Discussion: Average Annual Earnings Per Job are computed by dividing BEA total industry earnings estimates by the BEA total full- and part-time jobs estimates. No convenient or adequate means exist at the county or regional level for converting the job estimates to a full-time equivalent measure. So, interpret the average earnings per job estimates with caution in consideration of the following issues:
Average earnings per job within industries involving more part-time work is lower than industries involving more full-time work, although there could be little difference in the underlying wage of full-time workers. Such differences could also prevail between counties and regions. An increase in the proportion of part-time jobs over time may erode average earnings per job estimates, although full-time earnings per worker may have remained unchanged.
As with per capita income, average earnings per job may be subject to extreme short-run variation, especially in smaller counties. Major construction projects relating to building dams, nuclear power plants, and private plant construction projects have caused extreme fluctuations in many smaller counties. Such changes typify both small and large agriculture-dependent counties owing to the extreme annual variations in farm incomes. Also, Since average earnings per job are just a simple average, it does not account for variations in the distribution of earnings among high- vs. low-wage jobs.
Saginaw County Average Earnings Per Job, 1970-2022
Current vs. Constant Dollars
Saginaw County Average Earnings Per Job, 1970-2022
Current vs. Constant Dollars
Figure 1.
Figure 1 depicts Saginaw County's annual average earnings per job over 1970-2022 in current and constant (2017) dollars. Constant dollar measurements remove the effects of inflation. They allow for comparison of changes in the real purchasing power of Saginaw County over time.
When measured in current dollars, Saginaw County's average earnings per job increased 601.66%, from $8,713 in 1970 to $61,136 in 2022. When measured in constant 2017 dollars to adjust for inflation, it advanced 19.52%, from $44,081 in 1970 to $52,684 in 2022.
Real Average Earnings Per Job, 1969-2022
Real Average Earnings Per Job, 1969-2022
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks Saginaw County's and Michigan's annual real average earnings per job for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate real average earnings per job patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Saginaw County's real average earnings per job rose from $45,028 in 1969 to $52,684 in 2022, for a net gain of $7,655, or 17.00%. In comparison, Michigan's real average earnings per job advanced from $45,180 in 1969 to $56,867 in 2022, for a net advance of $11,687, or 25.87%.
Real Average Earnings Per Job Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Real Average Earnings Per Job Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Figure 3.
Figure 3 shows Saginaw County's real average earnings per job growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Michigan, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's real average earnings per job in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the real average earnings per jobs in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in real average earnings per job growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Saginaw County's overall real average earnings per job growth was 17.00% over 1969-2022 trailed Michigan's increase of 25.87%, and fell below the United States' increase of 62.26%.
Average Earnings Per Job as a Percent of the U.S. Average: 1969-2022
Average Earnings Per Job as a Percent of the U.S. Average: 1969-2022
Figure 4.
Figure 4 portrays the trends for average earnings per job relative to the national average by tracing Saginaw County and Michigan average earnings per job as a percent of the national average over 1969-2022.
In 1969, Saginaw County's average earnings per job amounted to 118.44% of the national average; in 2022, it approximated 85.40%. Similarly, in 1969, Michigan's average earnings per job totaled 118.84% of the national average; in 2022, it consisted of 92.18%.
Saginaw County Real Average Earnings Per Job:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Saginaw County Real Average Earnings Per Job:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Figure 5.
Figure 5 shows the short-run pattern of Saginaw County's real average earnings per job growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also traced on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Saginaw County's real average earnings per job grew at an annual rate of 0.34% over 1970-2022. The county recorded its highest growth in 1971 (8.00%) and posted its lowest growth in 1974 (-6.75%). In 2022, Saginaw County's real average earnings per job declined by -5.01%
Saginaw County Real Average Earnings Per Job:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Saginaw County Real Average Earnings Per Job:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Figure 6.
Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again depicts the annual percent change in Saginaw County's real average earnings per job since 1970, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022.
During the 1970s, Saginaw County's annual real average earnings per job growth rate averaged 1.60%. It averaged -0.84% in the 1980s, 1.21% in the 1990s, -1.21% in the 2000s, 0.86% during the 2010s, 0.65% thus far this decade (2020-2022).
Real Average Earnings Per Job Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Real Average Earnings Per Job Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Saginaw County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Michigan and the nation. As the chart reveals, Saginaw County's average annual real average earnings per job growth exceeded Michigan's average during the 1970s (1.60% vs. 0.90%), recorded under Michigan's average throughout the 1980s (-0.84% vs. -0.17%), amounted to less than Michigan's average during the 1990s (1.21% vs. 1.51%), amounted to less than Michigan's average throughout the 2000s (-1.21% vs. -0.74%), posted below Michigan's average throughout the 2010s (0.86% vs. 0.93%), and surpassed Michigan's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (0.65% vs. 0.08%).
Finally, relative to nationwide real average earnings per job growth trends, Saginaw County surpassed the nation during the 1970s (1.60% vs. 0.89%), fell under the nation throughout the 1980s (-0.84% vs. 0.71%), lagged the nation over the 1990s (1.21% vs. 1.68%), lagged the nation over the 2000s (-1.21% vs. 0.72%), fell under the nation over the 2010s (0.86% vs. 1.01%), and outpaced the nation over 2020-2022 (0.65% vs. -0.24%).
   
 
Real* Average Earnings Per Job Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
0.34
1.60
-0.84
1.21
-1.21
0.86
0.65
-5.01
 
0.46
0.90
-0.17
1.51
-0.74
0.93
0.08
-3.99
 
0.93
0.89
0.71
1.68
0.72
1.01
-0.24
-4.51
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Saginaw County:
Average Earnings Per Job, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
8,503
0.189
45,028
100.0
N
99.66
118.44
1970
 
8,713
0.198
44,081
97.9
-2.10
99.32
114.70
1971
 
9,809
0.206
47,607
105.7
8.00
103.69
121.06
1972
 
10,538
0.213
49,455
109.8
3.88
102.74
121.25
1973
 
11,473
0.225
51,092
113.5
3.31
103.54
122.88
1974
 
11,812
0.248
47,641
105.8
-6.75
102.40
118.97
1975
 
12,772
0.269
47,549
105.6
-0.19
103.42
119.22
1976
 
14,527
0.283
51,271
113.9
7.83
107.02
125.78
1977
 
15,965
0.302
52,905
117.5
3.19
107.42
128.62
1978
 
17,310
0.323
53,632
119.1
1.38
107.76
128.63
1979
 
18,372
0.351
52,279
116.1
-2.52
106.33
126.11
1980
 
19,202
0.389
49,327
109.5
-5.65
104.96
122.64
1981
 
20,669
0.424
48,731
108.2
-1.21
105.86
121.11
1982
 
20,891
0.448
46,662
103.6
-4.25
103.61
116.13
1983
 
22,549
0.467
48,309
107.3
3.53
106.12
119.18
1984
 
24,062
0.484
49,676
110.3
2.83
105.55
119.23
1985
 
25,291
0.501
50,454
112.0
1.57
105.32
119.70
1986
 
25,599
0.512
49,979
111.0
-0.94
102.25
115.95
1987
 
25,733
0.528
48,734
108.2
-2.49
101.65
111.27
1988
 
26,658
0.549
48,589
107.9
-0.30
99.94
109.22
1989
 
27,398
0.573
47,847
106.3
-1.53
99.28
107.61
1990
 
28,062
0.598
46,945
104.3
-1.88
99.36
105.50
1991
 
29,075
0.618
47,066
104.5
0.26
99.87
105.58
1992
 
30,263
0.634
47,718
106.0
1.39
97.90
103.01
1993
 
31,715
0.650
48,793
108.4
2.25
98.58
105.36
1994
 
33,096
0.664
49,876
110.8
2.22
99.06
107.07
1995
 
33,193
0.678
48,990
108.8
-1.78
96.98
105.02
1996
 
33,909
0.692
48,999
108.8
0.02
96.54
103.35
1997
 
34,942
0.704
49,629
110.2
1.29
96.24
102.12
1998
 
36,788
0.710
51,839
115.1
4.45
95.48
102.16
1999
 
38,784
0.720
53,866
119.6
3.91
96.36
102.74
2000
 
39,620
0.738
53,669
119.2
-0.37
94.39
99.29
2001
 
39,151
0.753
51,992
115.5
-3.13
90.98
94.39
2002
 
39,640
0.763
51,958
115.4
-0.06
90.98
93.48
2003
 
40,635
0.779
52,167
115.9
0.40
91.34
93.08
2004
 
41,178
0.798
51,584
114.6
-1.12
90.77
90.59
2005
 
41,122
0.821
50,072
111.2
-2.93
89.93
88.15
2006
 
42,505
0.844
50,337
111.8
0.53
91.55
87.74
2007
 
41,874
0.866
48,349
107.4
-3.95
89.66
84.80
2008
 
41,877
0.892
46,963
104.3
-2.87
88.71
83.26
2009
 
42,322
0.889
47,595
105.7
1.35
91.79
84.58
2010
 
43,708
0.905
48,288
107.2
1.46
91.54
83.75
2011
 
44,562
0.928
48,017
106.6
-0.56
91.03
83.09
2012
 
44,799
0.945
47,389
105.2
-1.31
89.13
81.36
2013
 
45,255
0.958
47,249
104.9
-0.30
89.13
81.05
2014
 
45,710
0.971
47,065
104.5
-0.39
88.58
80.21
2015
 
46,535
0.973
47,827
106.2
1.62
87.31
80.23
2016
 
48,038
0.983
48,876
108.5
2.19
88.73
82.14
2017
 
49,822
1.000
49,822
110.6
1.93
89.05
82.58
2018
 
51,887
1.020
50,846
112.9
2.06
90.63
83.55
2019
 
53,644
1.035
51,823
115.1
1.92
91.18
83.27
2020
 
57,341
1.046
54,801
121.7
5.75
92.09
85.10
2021
 
60,457
1.090
55,465
123.2
1.21
93.65
85.85
2022
 
61,136
1.160
52,684
117.0
-5.01
92.64
85.40
Source: Calculations by the Michigan Regional Economic Analysis Project (MI-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1400_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Michigan:
Average Earnings Per Job, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
8,531
0.189
45,180
100.0
N
118.84
1970
 
8,772
0.198
44,381
98.2
-1.77
115.48
1971
 
9,460
0.206
45,913
101.6
3.45
116.75
1972
 
10,257
0.213
48,135
106.5
4.84
118.02
1973
 
11,080
0.225
49,343
109.2
2.51
118.67
1974
 
11,534
0.248
46,523
103.0
-5.72
116.18
1975
 
12,350
0.269
45,978
101.8
-1.17
115.28
1976
 
13,573
0.283
47,906
106.0
4.19
117.53
1977
 
14,862
0.302
49,251
109.0
2.81
119.74
1978
 
16,063
0.323
49,768
110.2
1.05
119.36
1979
 
17,279
0.351
49,168
108.8
-1.20
118.61
1980
 
18,294
0.389
46,996
104.0
-4.42
116.85
1981
 
19,526
0.424
46,036
101.9
-2.04
114.41
1982
 
20,163
0.448
45,035
99.7
-2.17
112.08
1983
 
21,248
0.467
45,523
100.8
1.08
112.31
1984
 
22,798
0.484
47,065
104.2
3.39
112.97
1985
 
24,014
0.501
47,906
106.0
1.79
113.65
1986
 
25,036
0.512
48,881
108.2
2.04
113.40
1987
 
25,314
0.528
47,941
106.1
-1.92
109.46
1988
 
26,673
0.549
48,616
107.6
1.41
109.28
1989
 
27,596
0.573
48,194
106.7
-0.87
108.39
1990
 
28,242
0.598
47,247
104.6
-1.96
106.18
1991
 
29,113
0.618
47,129
104.3
-0.25
105.72
1992
 
30,912
0.634
48,742
107.9
3.42
105.22
1993
 
32,172
0.650
49,496
109.6
1.55
106.88
1994
 
33,409
0.664
50,348
111.4
1.72
108.09
1995
 
34,227
0.678
50,516
111.8
0.33
108.30
1996
 
35,123
0.692
50,753
112.3
0.47
107.05
1997
 
36,307
0.704
51,568
114.1
1.60
106.11
1998
 
38,532
0.710
54,296
120.2
5.29
107.00
1999
 
40,251
0.720
55,903
123.7
2.96
106.62
2000
 
41,973
0.738
56,856
125.8
1.71
105.19
2001
 
43,030
0.753
57,144
126.5
0.51
103.75
2002
 
43,570
0.763
57,110
126.4
-0.06
102.74
2003
 
44,487
0.779
57,112
126.4
0.00
101.90
2004
 
45,367
0.798
56,832
125.8
-0.49
99.80
2005
 
45,728
0.821
55,680
123.2
-2.03
98.03
2006
 
46,425
0.844
54,980
121.7
-1.26
95.84
2007
 
46,705
0.866
53,928
119.4
-1.91
94.58
2008
 
47,204
0.892
52,938
117.2
-1.84
93.85
2009
 
46,105
0.889
51,850
114.8
-2.05
92.14
2010
 
47,745
0.905
52,749
116.8
1.73
91.48
2011
 
48,954
0.928
52,750
116.8
0.00
91.27
2012
 
50,263
0.945
53,170
117.7
0.80
91.29
2013
 
50,772
0.958
53,009
117.3
-0.30
90.93
2014
 
51,603
0.971
53,133
117.6
0.23
90.55
2015
 
53,300
0.973
54,779
121.2
3.10
91.89
2016
 
54,139
0.983
55,084
121.9
0.56
92.58
2017
 
55,950
1.000
55,950
123.8
1.57
92.74
2018
 
57,251
1.020
56,103
124.2
0.27
92.19
2019
 
58,831
1.035
56,834
125.8
1.30
91.33
2020
 
62,265
1.046
59,507
131.7
4.70
92.41
2021
 
64,559
1.090
59,227
131.1
-0.47
91.67
2022
 
65,990
1.160
56,867
125.9
-3.99
92.18
Source: Calculations by the Michigan Regional Economic Analysis Project (MI-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1400_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Average Earnings Per Job, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
7,179
0.189
38,018
100.0
N
1970
 
7,596
0.198
38,430
101.1
1.08
1971
 
8,103
0.206
39,326
103.4
2.33
1972
 
8,691
0.213
40,786
107.3
3.71
1973
 
9,336
0.225
41,579
109.4
1.94
1974
 
9,928
0.248
40,044
105.3
-3.69
1975
 
10,713
0.269
39,883
104.9
-0.40
1976
 
11,549
0.283
40,761
107.2
2.20
1977
 
12,412
0.302
41,131
108.2
0.91
1978
 
13,457
0.323
41,694
109.7
1.37
1979
 
14,568
0.351
41,454
109.0
-0.58
1980
 
15,657
0.389
40,220
105.8
-2.98
1981
 
17,066
0.424
40,237
105.8
0.04
1982
 
17,989
0.448
40,181
105.7
-0.14
1983
 
18,920
0.467
40,535
106.6
0.88
1984
 
20,181
0.484
41,663
109.6
2.78
1985
 
21,130
0.501
42,152
110.9
1.17
1986
 
22,078
0.512
43,104
113.4
2.26
1987
 
23,126
0.528
43,799
115.2
1.61
1988
 
24,408
0.549
44,487
117.0
1.57
1989
 
25,460
0.573
44,462
117.0
-0.05
1990
 
26,599
0.598
44,498
117.0
0.08
1991
 
27,537
0.618
44,577
117.3
0.18
1992
 
29,378
0.634
46,323
121.8
3.92
1993
 
30,101
0.650
46,309
121.8
-0.03
1994
 
30,909
0.664
46,580
122.5
0.59
1995
 
31,605
0.678
46,646
122.7
0.14
1996
 
32,810
0.692
47,411
124.7
1.64
1997
 
34,218
0.704
48,600
127.8
2.51
1998
 
36,011
0.710
50,743
133.5
4.41
1999
 
37,751
0.720
52,432
137.9
3.33
2000
 
39,903
0.738
54,053
142.2
3.09
2001
 
41,477
0.753
55,080
144.9
1.90
2002
 
42,406
0.763
55,584
146.2
0.92
2003
 
43,655
0.779
56,045
147.4
0.83
2004
 
45,456
0.798
56,943
149.8
1.60
2005
 
46,648
0.821
56,800
149.4
-0.25
2006
 
48,442
0.844
57,368
150.9
1.00
2007
 
49,382
0.866
57,019
150.0
-0.61
2008
 
50,298
0.892
56,407
148.4
-1.07
2009
 
50,041
0.889
56,276
148.0
-0.23
2010
 
52,191
0.905
57,661
151.7
2.46
2011
 
53,633
0.928
57,792
152.0
0.23
2012
 
55,061
0.945
58,245
153.2
0.78
2013
 
55,837
0.958
58,296
153.3
0.09
2014
 
56,990
0.971
58,680
154.3
0.66
2015
 
58,005
0.973
59,615
156.8
1.59
2016
 
58,480
0.983
59,501
156.5
-0.19
2017
 
60,329
1.000
60,329
158.7
1.39
2018
 
62,102
1.020
60,856
160.1
0.87
2019
 
64,419
1.035
62,233
163.7
2.26
2020
 
67,378
1.046
64,393
169.4
3.47
2021
 
70,421
1.090
64,606
169.9
0.33
2022
 
71,586
1.160
61,690
162.3
-4.51
Source: Calculations by the Michigan Regional Economic Analysis Project (MI-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1400_PN
 
   
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