Antrim County vs. Michigan Comparative Trends Analysis: Total Industry Earnings Growth and Change, 1969-2022 Introduction Antrim County: 2022 Earnings = $403,564K 2022 Percent of State = 0.10% Michigan: 2022 Earnings = $386,966,216K 2022 Percent of U.S. = 2.54% Industry earnings are incomes received by people who are directly involved with producing goods and services. Earnings, referred to also as "labor and proprietors income", include (1) wage and salary disbursements, (2) other labor income such as employer contributions to private retirement and medical insurance programs, and (3) the net incomes of proprietors (i.e., the owners of unincorporated enterprises). In contrast to the more frequently cited employment data, earnings data more accurately reflect qualitative differences in labor's contributions toward the production of goods and services, namely the productivity differences reflected in variations in earnings per job. Earnings data, therefore, are better for comparing and tracking long-term trends and identifying short-run shifts in the level and composition of economic activity within and among counties. Just like the employment data compiled by BEA, earnings data are reported on a place-of-work, or more accurately on a place-where-earned, basis. Note: the BEA earnings data presented and discussed here in the context of comparing and assessing the economic growth and performance of county and regional economies are entirely separate and apart from--and should not be confused with--corporate earnings, which are compiled from the balance sheets of individual private corporations. Antrim County Total Industry Earnings, 1970-2022 Current vs. Constant Dollars (Millions) Figure 1. Figure 1 depicts Antrim County's annual total industry earnings over 1970-2022 in current and constant (2017) dollars. Constant dollar measurements remove the effects of inflation. They allow for comparison of changes in the real purchasing power of Antrim County over time. When measured in current dollars, Antrim County's total industry earnings increased 1,439.26%, from $26M in 1970 to $404M in 2022. When measured in constant 2017 dollars to adjust for inflation, it advanced 162.19%, from $133M in 1970 to $348M in 2022. Real Total Industry Earnings, 1969-2022 (Millions) Figure 2. Figure 2 tracks Antrim County's and Michigan's annual real total industry earnings for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate real total industry earnings patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Antrim County's real total industry earnings rose from $140M in 1969 to $348M in 2022, for a net gain of $208M, or 147.96%. In comparison, Michigan's real total industry earnings advanced from $164,452M in 1969 to $333,468M in 2022, for a net gain of $169,016M, or 102.77%. Real Total Industry Earnings Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022 Figure 3. Figure 3 portrays Antrim County's real total industry earnings growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Michigan, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's real total industry earnings in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the real total industry earningss in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in real total industry earnings growth between regions that may differ vastly in size. Antrim County's overall real total industry earnings growth was 147.96% over 1969-2022 outpaced Michigan's increase of 102.77%, and fell below the United States' increase of 278.59%. Total Industry Earnings as a Percent of the Michigan Total: 1969-2022 Figure 4. Another interesting and insightful way of comparing the total industry earnings growth of Antrim County is to compare its individual percentage contributions to Michigan's statewide total industry earnings over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's total industry earnings grew faster, or declined less, than Michigan's total industry earnings, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly. In 1969, Antrim County's total industry earnings comprised 0.09% of Michigan's total industry earnings, while in 2022 it totaled 0.10% thereby yielding a +0.02% share-shift.
Antrim County Real Total Industry Earnings: Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022 Figure 5. Figure 5 highlights the short-run pattern of Antrim County's real total industry earnings growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average. On average, Antrim County's real total industry earnings grew at an annual rate of 1.93% over 1970-2022. The county posted its highest growth in 1989 (17.17%) and recorded its lowest growth in 1975 (-10.79%). In 2022, Antrim County's real total industry earnings grew by 0.74% Antrim County Real Total Industry Earnings: Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022 Figure 6. Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again illustrates the annual percent change in Antrim County's real total industry earnings since 1970, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022. During the 1970s, Antrim County's annual real total industry earnings growth rate averaged 3.59%. It averaged 0.96% during the 1980s, 5.63% in the 1990s, -2.65% during the 2000s, 2.29% during the 2010s, 1.40% thus far this decade (2020-2022). Real Total Industry Earnings Growth: Average Annual Percent Change by Decade Figure 7. Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Antrim County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Michigan and the nation. As the chart reveals, Antrim County's average annual real total industry earnings growth surpassed Michigan's average throughout the 1970s (3.59% vs. 2.52%), posted below Michigan's average during the 1980s (0.96% vs. 1.02%), outperformed Michigan's average throughout the 1990s (5.63% vs. 3.08%), lagged Michigan's average during the 2000s (-2.65% vs. -1.54%), exceeded Michigan's average during the 2010s (2.29% vs. 2.19%), and outgained Michigan's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (1.40% vs. 0.91%). Finally, relative to nationwide real total industry earnings growth trends, Antrim County recorded above the nation in the 1970s (3.59% vs. 3.13%), trailed the nation in the 1980s (0.96% vs. 2.62%), outgained the nation during the 1990s (5.63% vs. 3.43%), fell below the nation throughout the 2000s (-2.65% vs. 1.47%), lagged the nation over the 2010s (2.29% vs. 2.53%), and recorded underneath the nation over 2020-2022 (1.40% vs. 1.48%).
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