Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Wholesale Trade Earnings Growth
Across Michigan Counties
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 3.98%
2022 = 7.49%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real wholesale trade earnings growth across all of Michigan's 83 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Michigan Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real wholesale trade earnings growth of Michigan's 83 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 3.98%
2022 = 7.49%
This figure displays the 83 counties of Michigan as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real wholesale trade earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real wholesale trade earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 3.98%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 3.98% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (3.98%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 23 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 15 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 21 counties whose most recent (2022) real wholesale trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (7.49%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 17 counties whose real wholesale trade earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 83 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 3.98% over 2010-2022 and 7.49% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (3.98%) and near-term (7.49%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.98%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Michigan average (7.49%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (3.98%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (7.49%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (3.98%) and near-term (7.49%).
   
 
Summary of Michigan's 83 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(7.49%)
Above
(7.49%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(3.98%)
11
12
23
Below
(3.98%)
6
9
15
 
17
21
38
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 3.98%
2022 = 7.49%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Michigan counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Michigan's average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.98%) as well as near-term (2022 = 7.49%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Michigan's 83 counties, just 12 (14%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 3.98%
2022 = 7.49%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 11 Michigan counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 3.98%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 7.49%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 11 (13%) of Michigan's 83 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 3.98%
2022 = 7.49%
This figure shows the distribution of the 9 Michigan counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 3.98%), while they outpaced Michigan's average near-term (2022 = 7.49%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Michigan's 83 counties, only 11% (9) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 3.98%
2022 = 7.49%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 6 Michigan counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.98%) as well as near-term (2022 = 7.49%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
7% of Michigan's counties, 6 of 83, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Michigan
Real* Wholesale Trade Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
9
7.54
 
6
15.43
196,082
 
20
4.48
 
8
14.55
175,543
 
6
8.59
 
3
22.90
11,774
 
3
10.42
 
10
14.35
12,049
 
11
7.21
 
7
14.60
29,968
 
14
5.60
 
16
11.11
147,545
 
12
6.38
 
27
7.86
3,004,133
 
2
15.55
 
18
10.58
20,366
 
5
8.63
 
15
13.35
345,675
 
18
4.56
 
14
13.36
14,007
 
13
5.98
 
5
16.95
26,827
 
15
5.37
 
12
13.58
538,743
Slipping Counties
 
7
7.84
 
30
7.10
9,388
 
8
7.69
 
35
5.31
32,803
 
16
5.31
 
41
2.38
121,745
 
1
31.98
 
38
3.79
22,361
 
21
4.42
 
50
-8.24
549,615
 
19
4.51
 
51
-11.42
53,043
 
10
7.46
 
39
3.27
75,050
 
22
4.37
 
49
-6.89
147,776
 
4
8.90
 
44
0.61
20,478
 
23
4.02
 
29
7.39
44,306
 
17
4.80
 
32
6.71
751,604
Gaining Counties
 
27
3.52
 
24
8.31
34,401
 
26
3.74
 
11
14.25
34,079
 
37
0.83
 
26
7.89
80,915
 
38
0.59
 
9
14.49
33,435
 
33
1.99
 
4
18.50
16,219
 
31
2.85
 
22
9.17
15,530
 
25
3.84
 
17
10.62
1,156,664
 
34
1.89
 
2
29.17
5,610
 
24
3.92
 
25
8.10
5,996,244
Lagging Counties
 
32
2.77
 
45
0.01
13,551
 
30
3.00
 
46
-0.72
2,344
 
28
3.22
 
36
5.26
155,599
 
29
3.07
 
37
4.26
472,947
 
36
1.30
 
34
5.48
8,833
 
35
1.67
 
40
2.83
25,398
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
9,357
 
U
U
 
1
29.89
4,485
 
U
U
 
19
10.51
5,205
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
13
13.39
17,581
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
23
8.80
20,476
 
U
U
 
47
-1.78
319,440
 
U
U
 
28
7.39
25,921
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
67,421
 
U
U
 
48
-5.91
2,927
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
33
6.30
22,031
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
28,687
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
42
2.03
17,104
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
43
1.69
146,380
 
U
U
 
20
10.18
38,911
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
21
9.73
37,949
 
U
U
 
31
6.84
45,292
 
U
U
 
S
S
3,244,556
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.98
 
7.49
19,404,130
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.94
 
9.59
710,955,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610600_LSGL
 
   
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