Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Earnings Growth
Across Michigan Counties
Real* Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Earnings Growth
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 4.33%
2022 = 17.79%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth across all of Michigan's 83 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Michigan Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth of Michigan's 83 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Earnings Growth
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 4.33%
2022 = 17.79%
This figure displays the 83 counties of Michigan as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 4.33%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 4.33% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (4.33%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 43 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 24 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 12 counties whose most recent (2022) real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (17.79%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 55 counties whose real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 83 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 4.33% over 2010-2022 and 17.79% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (4.33%) and near-term (17.79%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.33%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Michigan average (17.79%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (4.33%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (17.79%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (4.33%) and near-term (17.79%).
   
 
Summary of Michigan's 83 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(17.79%)
Above
(17.79%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(4.33%)
34
9
43
Below
(4.33%)
21
3
24
 
55
12
67
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 4.33%
2022 = 17.79%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Michigan counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Michigan's average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.33%) as well as near-term (2022 = 17.79%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Michigan's 83 counties, just 9 (11%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 4.33%
2022 = 17.79%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 34 Michigan counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.33%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 17.79%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 34 (41%) of Michigan's 83 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 4.33%
2022 = 17.79%
This figure shows the distribution of the 3 Michigan counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.33%), while they outpaced Michigan's average near-term (2022 = 17.79%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Michigan's 83 counties, only 4% (3) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 4.33%
2022 = 17.79%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 21 Michigan counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.33%) as well as near-term (2022 = 17.79%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real arts, entertainment, and recreation earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
25% of Michigan's counties, 21 of 83, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Michigan
Real* Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
7
10.08
 
1
32.64
7,006
 
16
8.59
 
10
19.15
10,324
 
14
9.07
 
4
23.40
6,259
 
40
4.72
 
13
18.60
44,297
 
15
8.84
 
14
17.90
15,443
 
41
4.45
 
6
22.40
36,816
 
1
19.89
 
8
19.67
11,062
 
29
6.12
 
12
19.05
10,437
 
33
5.40
 
5
23.35
1,663,455
Slipping Counties
 
18
7.85
 
17
15.12
24,816
 
11
9.37
 
36
10.31
10,429
 
9
9.62
 
31
11.09
16,627
 
36
5.15
 
58
5.66
5,208
 
27
6.20
 
42
9.62
39,474
 
8
9.63
 
33
11.03
5,155
 
35
5.18
 
46
8.86
5,712
 
21
7.02
 
51
6.62
16,599
 
17
7.88
 
47
7.94
9,730
 
31
5.59
 
52
6.11
12,546
 
22
6.92
 
24
12.81
5,925
 
24
6.76
 
44
9.17
36,439
 
5
11.42
 
21
13.57
47,429
 
3
14.72
 
66
2.38
3,316
 
13
9.23
 
16
15.22
3,877
 
37
5.04
 
56
5.68
61,266
 
39
4.76
 
34
10.60
21,218
 
34
5.20
 
20
13.82
67,141
 
25
6.68
 
19
14.17
189,148
 
12
9.33
 
38
10.17
7,051
 
4
12.05
 
26
12.20
22,507
 
43
4.36
 
48
7.47
98,033
 
6
11.18
 
54
5.87
11,131
 
30
5.91
 
37
10.22
6,084
 
20
7.22
 
68
2.31
26,709
 
10
9.53
 
50
6.84
6,106
 
23
6.80
 
63
3.51
4,721
 
19
7.58
 
29
11.35
57,571
 
2
16.25
 
41
9.66
6,256
 
42
4.41
 
32
11.05
23,290
 
32
5.53
 
69
-3.71
3,245
 
38
4.83
 
40
9.87
2,895
 
28
6.17
 
23
13.04
145,058
 
26
6.33
 
59
5.51
4,499
Gaining Counties
 
48
3.64
 
2
31.59
4,970
 
59
1.45
 
9
19.35
851
 
50
3.39
 
7
19.86
541,175
Lagging Counties
 
54
2.93
 
64
3.22
3,459
 
62
1.27
 
53
5.98
16,913
 
53
2.94
 
15
16.68
5,918
 
57
2.28
 
62
3.59
3,056
 
65
-0.40
 
55
5.76
2,498
 
60
1.39
 
39
10.06
59,894
 
56
2.42
 
74
-33.19
2,603
 
47
3.80
 
30
11.21
1,905
 
51
3.30
 
43
9.59
3,804
 
52
3.18
 
60
5.12
2,998
 
46
4.11
 
57
5.66
8,806
 
44
4.19
 
22
13.55
16,311
 
49
3.60
 
49
7.35
4,366
 
55
2.78
 
65
2.54
5,937
 
66
-1.35
 
70
-4.97
13,772
 
63
1.15
 
35
10.51
2,450
 
58
1.82
 
45
9.08
2,211
 
67
-5.26
 
25
12.40
6,564
 
61
1.30
 
72
-9.03
16,791
 
64
-0.21
 
18
15.02
7,113
 
45
4.14
 
67
2.32
3,529
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
28
11.62
3,035
 
U
U
 
11
19.09
886
 
U
U
 
71
-7.85
1,525
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
73
-10.36
1,228
 
U
U
 
S
S
2,665
 
U
U
 
3
24.68
1,162
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
61
3.73
417
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
2,650
 
U
U
 
27
11.89
2,315
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.33
 
17.79
3,589,695
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
6.31
 
26.15
203,533,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611700_LSGL
 
   
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