Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Construction Employment Growth
Across Michigan Counties
Construction
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Construction
Employment Growth
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 2.04%
2022 = 4.23%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of construction employment growth across all of Michigan's 83 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Michigan Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the construction employment growth of Michigan's 83 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Construction
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Construction
Employment Growth
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 2.04%
2022 = 4.23%
This figure displays the 83 counties of Michigan as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual construction employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the construction employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term construction employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 2.04%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 2.04% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual construction employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (2.04%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 28 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 48 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 39 counties whose most recent (2022) construction employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.23%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 37 counties whose construction employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 83 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 2.04% over 2010-2022 and 4.23% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual construction employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (2.04%) and near-term (4.23%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual construction employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.04%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Michigan average (4.23%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual construction employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (2.04%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (4.23%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual construction employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (2.04%) and near-term (4.23%).
   
 
Summary of Michigan's 83 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(4.23%)
Above
(4.23%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(2.04%)
11
17
28
Below
(2.04%)
26
22
48
 
37
39
76
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 2.04%
2022 = 4.23%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Michigan counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Michigan's average annual construction employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.04%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.23%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual construction employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Michigan's 83 counties, 17 (20%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 2.04%
2022 = 4.23%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 11 Michigan counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual construction employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.04%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 4.23%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual construction employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 11 (13%) of Michigan's 83 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 2.04%
2022 = 4.23%
This figure shows the distribution of the 22 Michigan counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual construction employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.04%), while they outpaced Michigan's average near-term (2022 = 4.23%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual construction employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Michigan's 83 counties, 27% (22) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 2.04%
2022 = 4.23%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 26 Michigan counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual construction employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.04%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.23%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual construction employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
31% of Michigan's counties, 26 of 83, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Michigan
Construction Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
10
2.91
 
40
4.31
4,772
 
3
3.51
 
3
15.00
805
 
2
3.57
 
24
5.87
2,814
 
18
2.41
 
10
7.46
10,794
 
24
2.21
 
8
8.57
950
 
25
2.17
 
7
8.62
7,572
 
21
2.33
 
20
6.22
8,775
 
1
3.93
 
25
5.80
949
 
14
2.75
 
41
4.27
26,140
 
7
3.29
 
13
6.86
3,007
 
13
2.80
 
26
5.59
29,295
 
11
2.85
 
23
5.91
1,720
 
9
3.00
 
29
5.39
1,173
 
16
2.52
 
27
5.56
10,576
 
27
2.12
 
15
6.62
338
 
26
2.14
 
6
9.33
211
 
22
2.25
 
14
6.73
38,157
Slipping Counties
 
4
3.35
 
48
3.66
1,077
 
20
2.37
 
63
2.10
146
 
19
2.40
 
75
-3.06
1,076
 
8
3.00
 
77
-8.76
2,115
 
6
3.30
 
43
4.17
7,295
 
28
2.10
 
80
-26.37
737
 
23
2.23
 
47
3.67
4,269
 
17
2.48
 
44
4.08
1,249
 
15
2.69
 
50
3.61
43,872
 
5
3.33
 
73
-1.49
596
 
12
2.83
 
78
-11.92
5,030
Gaining Counties
 
58
0.73
 
22
6.00
212
 
65
0.26
 
12
7.04
289
 
33
1.92
 
16
6.61
2,434
 
40
1.51
 
19
6.25
901
 
61
0.64
 
30
5.37
3,921
 
48
1.17
 
34
4.77
1,032
 
34
1.84
 
11
7.09
876
 
56
0.76
 
21
6.09
993
 
50
1.06
 
18
6.30
709
 
47
1.17
 
32
5.18
3,881
 
42
1.47
 
39
4.31
2,177
 
44
1.29
 
9
8.29
444
 
53
0.83
 
33
4.87
710
 
73
-0.88
 
28
5.50
403
 
57
0.74
 
2
15.39
3,688
 
76
-3.91
 
36
4.67
112
 
29
2.03
 
1
21.91
1,402
 
62
0.50
 
37
4.51
4,732
 
54
0.79
 
5
9.97
1,368
 
63
0.45
 
4
10.14
1,173
 
59
0.72
 
38
4.47
1,683
 
51
0.98
 
17
6.36
1,455
Lagging Counties
 
69
-0.28
 
51
3.60
806
 
36
1.72
 
42
4.20
1,537
 
37
1.71
 
67
1.37
965
 
67
-0.04
 
57
2.61
2,983
 
45
1.26
 
55
2.75
858
 
75
-2.15
 
79
-19.22
811
 
64
0.28
 
69
0.55
2,764
 
32
1.94
 
45
3.76
2,375
 
60
0.71
 
64
2.06
347
 
31
1.94
 
52
3.43
4,909
 
52
0.91
 
68
1.25
649
 
72
-0.55
 
66
1.54
1,053
 
41
1.48
 
54
3.31
1,623
 
46
1.23
 
59
2.52
366
 
74
-1.09
 
76
-5.76
2,060
 
43
1.35
 
56
2.65
1,122
 
49
1.17
 
71
0.05
1,907
 
39
1.59
 
70
0.30
1,001
 
71
-0.52
 
60
2.46
3,169
 
30
2.00
 
62
2.15
428
 
66
0.15
 
65
2.02
706
 
38
1.62
 
58
2.54
202
 
68
-0.06
 
49
3.63
657
 
55
0.77
 
46
3.71
1,956
 
35
1.76
 
72
-1.31
7,754
 
70
-0.35
 
61
2.35
783
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
53
3.43
211
 
U
U
 
74
-2.83
1,338
 
U
U
 
35
4.74
265
 
U
U
 
S
S
44
 
U
U
 
31
5.31
238
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.04
 
4.23
296,316
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.83
 
4.15
11,867,800
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_510400_LSGL
 
   
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