Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Accommodation and Food Services Employment Growth
Across Michigan Counties
Accommodation and Food Services
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Accommodation and Food Services
Employment Growth
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 1.11%
2022 = 11.28%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of accommodation and food services employment growth across all of Michigan's 83 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Michigan Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the accommodation and food services employment growth of Michigan's 83 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Accommodation and Food Services
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Accommodation and Food Services
Employment Growth
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 1.11%
2022 = 11.28%
This figure displays the 83 counties of Michigan as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual accommodation and food services employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the accommodation and food services employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term accommodation and food services employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 1.11%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 1.11% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual accommodation and food services employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (1.11%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 33 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 34 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 22 counties whose most recent (2022) accommodation and food services employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (11.28%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 45 counties whose accommodation and food services employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 83 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 1.11% over 2010-2022 and 11.28% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual accommodation and food services employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (1.11%) and near-term (11.28%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual accommodation and food services employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.11%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Michigan average (11.28%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual accommodation and food services employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (1.11%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (11.28%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual accommodation and food services employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (1.11%) and near-term (11.28%).
   
 
Summary of Michigan's 83 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(11.28%)
Above
(11.28%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(1.11%)
19
14
33
Below
(1.11%)
26
8
34
 
45
22
67
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 1.11%
2022 = 11.28%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Michigan counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Michigan's average annual accommodation and food services employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.11%) as well as near-term (2022 = 11.28%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual accommodation and food services employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Michigan's 83 counties, 14 (17%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 1.11%
2022 = 11.28%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 19 Michigan counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual accommodation and food services employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 1.11%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 11.28%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual accommodation and food services employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 19 (23%) of Michigan's 83 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 1.11%
2022 = 11.28%
This figure shows the distribution of the 8 Michigan counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual accommodation and food services employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 1.11%), while they outpaced Michigan's average near-term (2022 = 11.28%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual accommodation and food services employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Michigan's 83 counties, only 10% (8) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Michigan:
2010-2022 = 1.11%
2022 = 11.28%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 26 Michigan counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual accommodation and food services employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.11%) as well as near-term (2022 = 11.28%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual accommodation and food services employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
31% of Michigan's counties, 26 of 83, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Michigan
Accommodation and Food Services Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
15
2.22
 
21
12.85
1,467
 
7
3.61
 
26
11.63
1,853
 
17
2.15
 
11
15.69
2,020
 
10
2.78
 
7
17.04
1,690
 
28
1.38
 
14
14.04
674
 
24
1.66
 
10
15.75
6,373
 
13
2.27
 
12
15.60
32,202
 
20
2.04
 
18
13.11
1,700
 
31
1.27
 
24
12.10
30,435
 
30
1.30
 
9
16.27
2,858
 
2
4.87
 
2
35.84
2,024
 
21
1.90
 
20
12.92
61,329
 
16
2.21
 
4
25.53
1,057
 
22
1.84
 
23
12.63
15,053
Slipping Counties
 
33
1.20
 
40
9.80
3,192
 
6
3.77
 
56
5.90
1,095
 
23
1.82
 
31
10.44
1,322
 
26
1.59
 
43
9.05
6,833
 
4
4.36
 
53
6.89
1,040
 
19
2.05
 
60
4.41
1,469
 
12
2.37
 
49
7.21
3,761
 
5
3.82
 
58
5.04
3,437
 
25
1.61
 
57
5.56
798
 
9
2.82
 
70
0.08
1,333
 
8
3.05
 
71
-0.67
2,527
 
3
4.50
 
41
9.69
7,845
 
32
1.20
 
54
6.81
1,161
 
14
2.24
 
28
11.11
7,581
 
27
1.41
 
65
2.66
1,468
 
11
2.71
 
37
10.06
10,380
 
18
2.14
 
46
8.67
1,680
 
1
5.00
 
45
8.73
1,034
 
29
1.34
 
44
8.93
2,378
Gaining Counties
 
53
-0.13
 
17
13.43
811
 
67
-1.97
 
3
34.74
764
 
34
0.97
 
5
20.75
960
 
35
0.95
 
13
14.43
1,134
 
41
0.68
 
22
12.82
4,444
 
58
-0.65
 
8
16.78
167
 
44
0.43
 
15
13.78
8,083
 
46
0.29
 
25
12.03
65,538
Lagging Counties
 
63
-1.19
 
50
7.20
938
 
57
-0.28
 
64
3.49
4,329
 
47
0.25
 
29
10.86
4,195
 
51
0.01
 
48
8.11
1,306
 
56
-0.19
 
38
10.03
1,283
 
50
0.13
 
32
10.41
1,220
 
45
0.40
 
55
6.13
14,005
 
42
0.59
 
74
-9.96
434
 
36
0.91
 
39
9.97
1,478
 
60
-0.81
 
30
10.58
11,071
 
64
-1.38
 
68
0.94
858
 
49
0.16
 
67
2.21
3,001
 
38
0.81
 
51
6.98
4,995
 
52
-0.12
 
33
10.35
11,758
 
61
-0.86
 
47
8.38
2,419
 
65
-1.53
 
36
10.08
677
 
48
0.24
 
34
10.31
3,349
 
54
-0.14
 
61
4.28
1,122
 
59
-0.73
 
52
6.98
598
 
66
-1.76
 
63
3.63
743
 
62
-1.02
 
27
11.21
843
 
39
0.78
 
35
10.27
741
 
40
0.70
 
42
9.47
5,017
 
37
0.82
 
62
4.08
893
 
43
0.50
 
66
2.34
1,576
 
55
-0.19
 
69
0.81
1,250
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
1
46.79
160
 
U
U
 
16
13.77
570
 
U
U
 
59
4.82
370
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
73
-8.52
451
 
U
U
 
S
S
305
 
U
U
 
72
-2.34
417
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
6
17.71
319
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
213
 
U
U
 
19
13.06
329
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.11
 
11.28
387,779
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.87
 
9.59
14,750,300
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_511800_LSGL
 
   
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